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Monday, December 26, 2016

A Donald Trump Worst Case Scenario



If someone had asked me in January of 2001 to opine on a worst case scenario for the incoming president there is just no way that I could have predicted two failed wars and an absolutely ruined economy. I thought that George W. Bush was an idiot and a clown but I just didn’t have the sort of warped imagination necessary to project so much mayhem. I think that the results of the Trump presidency will be pretty much what you would expect from having a reality TV star as president of the most powerful country in the history of the world.

Jump ahead to January of 2009 and look into the same crystal ball for Obama’s eight years and most of the Republicans' promises during the elections in 2008 concerning the economy were exceeded in the Obama administration. Critics of Obama’s rule point out our excessive debt and the fact that growth never hit 3% during his eight years (3% was hit in December 2016). If you can think of a better reason than taking care of the health needs of poor citizens for a country to take on debt please tell me what that is. Most of the people moaning about our national debt have no idea what they are talking about and also refuse to put any of the blame on Republican tax cuts for the rich or Bush’s two disastrous wars. As far as the U.S. economy not reaching 3% growth (fast enough) all I can say is welcome to the world financial meltdown of 2008.

Only a few weeks before he is to take office Trump has already been saturating the media with stupidity via his Twitter account. Twitter is, without a doubt, the most asinine aspect of modern technological communications. Our new President is addicted to this idiocy like a 13 year old child with a new toy except unlike a child he will soon be the most powerful man in the world. His unhinged Twitter proclamations are frightening.

If ever I posed a more rhetorical question, a question that I wouldn’t dare touch with a ten foot selfie-stick it would be to ask about a worst case scenario for the Trump Presidency. 

While I refuse to speculate on any worst case scenarios I will say that Trump will soon tire of the exigencies of his elected office. He seems already overwhelmed with the prospect of taking on actual responsibility. In the past he could simply drive a company into bankruptcy and then have his legal team pick over the debris.

I will also say that many of the working class folks who voted for Trump will quickly realize that he is not their champion. Indeed, his cabinet picks have all but ruled out that the lower classes will make any gains under his administration. More than anything I think that Trump will hate the fact that almost everyone hates him. George W. Bush—if you will remember—barely spoke to the American public and any time he did speak it was in a very controlled environment, like a military base or weapons plant. Trump’s Mussolini-like rallies won’t be possible once he takes office and these love-fests are open to the public.

Just how Trump’s displeasure with his unpopularity will manifest itself is anyone's guess but I’m almost sure it will provoke a Twitter battle.

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